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The initial strength of inter-bank spot bonds was obvious. The yield of active bonds of 7-year and 10-year treasury bonds dropped by 3.5bp. The yield of active bonds of 7-year and 10-year treasury bonds fell by 3.5bp, the yield of 7-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 18" reported 1.725%, and the yield of 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" hit 1.87%, all hitting record lows. The yield of 30-year "24 Special Treasury Bond 06" dropped by 3.1bp to 2.079%, the lowest since the end of February 2005.Japan Fanuc shares rose nearly 4%.Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.

Sources: The current Secretary-General of OPEC, Ghais, will be re-elected. Four representatives of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said that the organization will re-elect the current Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais for a three-year term at a virtual meeting on December 10th. A source said that the meeting will start at 18:30 Beijing time today and is expected to be short and only deal with administrative affairs.In early trading, the main domestic futures contracts rose almost across the board, with coke and glass rising by over 5%, BR rubber and coking coal rising by over 4%, screw thread and soda ash rising by over 3%, iron ore rising by nearly 3%, and hot coil, polyvinyl chloride (PVC), para-xylene (PX), PTA, Shanghai Bank, Shanghai Tin, rapeseed meal and SC crude oil rising by over 2%. In terms of decline, asphalt and low sulfur fuel oil (LU) declined slightly.Guotai Junan: Airline naked fares will keep rising year-on-year, and the pressure on oil prices will continue to improve. Guotai Junan Research Report said that the recent trend of passenger flow and load factor conforms to the characteristics of off-season, and is better than the same period in 2023. The pressure on oil prices has improved significantly since the fourth quarter of 2024. In December, the ex-factory price of domestic jet fuel increased slightly by 3% from the previous month and decreased by 17% year-on-year, continuing the downward trend of the central government. Recently, domestic naked fares have kept rising year-on-year, and it is estimated that more than half of the fuel has been reduced, reflecting that the recovery of supply and demand is better than expected, and it is expected that the off-season will greatly reduce losses year-on-year. Considering that the recent decline in international oil prices will be transmitted to China with a delay of about two months, the oil price pressure will continue to improve in the first quarter of 2025. It is predicted that the concentration of passenger flow in Spring Festival travel rush in the first half of 2025 will contribute to the active revenue management of the airline company, and the peak season may show more than expected profit elasticity and catalyze optimistic expectations. Reaffirm the logic of super cycle and long period of aviation equipment. When supply and demand recover, considering the marketization of fares and the slowdown of fleet growth, the profit center can be expected to rise.

The number of bonus-themed ETFs has increased from 10 billion to two managers, both of whom are Huatai Bairui. The Politburo meeting has once again triggered the discussion of switching market funds to large-cap blue chips, and the scale of dividend-themed ETFs has quietly reached a new high. The latest scale shows that the scale of 49 dividend-themed ETFs in the whole market exceeds 90 billion. Among them, Huatai Bairui dividend low-wave ETF reached 10.409 billion yuan. Since the beginning of this year, its scale and share have increased by over 7.8 billion yuan and 6.5 billion copies respectively, making it the second dividend-themed ETF that broke through 10 billion yuan. On the previous trading day, the scale of Huatai Berry dividend ETF exceeded 20 billion, becoming the first 20 billion dividend ETF in China. At present, the total scale of five dividend-themed ETF products under Huatai Bairui exceeds 32.6 billion yuan.Huatai Securities: The statement of the Politburo meeting on macro-policies generally exceeded market expectations. Huatai Securities said in reading the research report of the Politburo meeting in December that, on the whole, the statement of the Politburo meeting on macro-policies generally exceeded market expectations, and the stocks and debts all gave positive responses. The subsequent central bank RRR cut is expected to land soon, which is expected to form a certain emotional resonance. The next focus is on the more specific economic deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference for next year. Compared with the expected guidance, the market pays more attention to the actual scale, especially whether there are clearer signals in finance, inflation and exchange rate, and whether the broad credit can actually come. As far as debt is concerned, the short-term market inertia is still there, and the downward trend of interest rates has not wavered. However, the market quickly responded to the mid-term "good" and overdrawn the market next year. It is suggested to enhance operational flexibility, maintain long-term interest rate positions, stop chasing up, cash in when it is favorable to prevent profit impulse, and continue to seize opportunities such as credit bonds for 3-5 years.The decline in the yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds has expanded, and the decline in the yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds has expanded. The yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" has dropped by 2.5bp to 1.88%, continuing to hit a record low; The yield of 30-year active bond "24 Special Bond 06" went down 3.5bp to 2.0750%.